Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Highland Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51087201403 · Henrico County, VA · pop 5,363 · 43% of tract blocks fall in Highland Springs
Census tract 51087201403 covers part of Highland Springs, VA, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,363. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,242
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$52,879
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Highland Springs and the region
Centroid at 37.5382, -77.2609 · click any tract to drill in
Why Highland Springs scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,152 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Highland Springs
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.7
How Highland Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 666Total filings over 2 yrs
- 43.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 51.6%Peak (2015)
- 289Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.8%Housing insecurity
- 13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.8%Food insecurity
- 21.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.1%Transit barriers
- 11.2%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 38.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Highland Springs
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Against Henrico County at 47.8%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. Court records carry 666 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
It sits 0.7 points above the Henrico County average of 4.3. Average gross rent is $1,152, 9% below the Highland Springs average.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 51.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 43.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 8.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $52,879. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201403?
Census tract 51087201403 in Highland Springs scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201403?
Median gross rent is $1,152/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201403?
9.1% of residents in tract 51087201403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,363.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 79th, minority 69th, housing 84th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087201403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 666 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087201403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 43.19% of renter households, peaking at 51.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087201403 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087201403 compare to Highland Springs overall?
Tract 51087201403 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Highland Springs at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Highland Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Highland Springs
Top eight tracts in Highland Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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