Potomac Falls Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cascades
Tract 51107611206 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,829 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 51107611206 sits in the Potomac Falls area of Cascades, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. It is home to 4,829 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Cascades and the region
Centroid at 39.0575, -77.3920 · click any tract to drill in
Why Potomac Falls scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Potomac Falls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 22Total filings over 1 yrs
- 5.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.9%Peak (2016)
- 22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Potomac Falls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 21.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Potomac Falls
26% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Loudoun County average of 37.5%. Average gross rent is $1,953, 26% below the Cascades average. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 22 eviction filings across 1 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 5.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 25% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $145,000, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51107611206
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611206?
What is the average rent in tract 51107611206?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611206?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611206?
Is tract 51107611206 considered part of Potomac Falls?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611206?
What share of households in tract 51107611206 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107611206 compare to Cascades overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Cascades
Top eight tracts in Cascades ranked by composite eviction-risk score.