Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #83,884 of 84,120 nationally
Potomac Falls Eviction Risk: Lower , Cascades
Tract 51107611102 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 5,983 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 51107611102 in Potomac Falls in Cascades ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,983 residents. It lands near the 30th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 26% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,353 monthly, set against $198,087 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,091
Renter share12.0%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$198,087
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
4
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cascades and the region
Centroid at 39.0522, -77.4124 · click any tract to drill in
Why Potomac Falls scores 1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cascades
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,353 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cascades
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cascades
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cascades
3.7
How Potomac Falls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2016)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Potomac Falls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.0%Food insecurity
- 4.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Potomac Falls
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cascades, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 3.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.5% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611102?
Census tract 51107611102 in the Potomac Falls neighborhood scores 1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611102?
Median gross rent is $2,353/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611102?
1.4% of residents in tract 51107611102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,983.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 56th, minority 52th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611102 considered part of Potomac Falls?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611102 fall within Potomac Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.49% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107611102 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107611102 compare to Cascades overall?
Tract 51107611102 scores 1/10, lower than the parent city of Cascades at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cascades; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cascades
Top eight tracts in Cascades ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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