Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Ridings at Blue Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , South Riding
Tract 51107611805 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,601 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 51107611805 covers part of the Ridings at Blue Springs area of South Riding, VA, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,601 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,366
Renter share7.0%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$208,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across South Riding and the region
Centroid at 38.8951, -77.4967 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ridings at Blue Springs scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South Riding
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,776 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Riding
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Riding
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Riding
3.6
How Ridings at Blue Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2016)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.0%Food insecurity
- 4.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 19.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ridings at Blue Springs
Cost burden runs 46% here against 37.5% across Loudoun County. The voucher gap is 20.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Housing insecurity runs 6.5% against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 2.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611805?
Census tract 51107611805 in the Ridings at Blue Springs neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611805?
Median gross rent is $2,776/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611805?
2.7% of residents in tract 51107611805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,601.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 23th, minority 57th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611805 considered part of Ridings at Blue Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611805 fall within Ridings at Blue Springs (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611805?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611805 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.04% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107611805 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107611805 compare to South Riding overall?
Tract 51107611805 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of South Riding at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Riding eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South Riding
Top eight tracts in South Riding ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related