Avonlea Eviction Risk: Lower , South Riding

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of South Riding commands. SNAP participation runs 4.6% against 15.2% nationally.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.