Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Nicholas Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Blacksburg

Tract 51121020302 · Montgomery County, VA · pop 4,096 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 51121020302 covers the Nicholas Manor neighborhood of Blacksburg in Virginia. Home to 4,096 residents, it scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

30% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $919 a month against an average household income of $138,462 a year, roughly 8% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 14% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units1,332

Renter share19.7%

SVI overall0.33

Poverty rate8.0%

Median income$138,462

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blacksburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2513, -80.4566 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nicholas Manor scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Blacksburg

5.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

8.0% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$919 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Blacksburg

9.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Blacksburg

9.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Blacksburg

9.5

How Nicholas Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

11%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
24%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.0%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
8.3%Food insecurity
6.1%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
6.0%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
24.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nicholas Manor

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 6.0 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51121020302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51121020302?

Census tract 51121020302 in the Nicholas Manor neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51121020302?

Median gross rent is $919/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51121020302?

8.0% of residents in tract 51121020302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,096.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51121020302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 6th, minority 24th, housing 98th.

Is tract 51121020302 considered part of Nicholas Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51121020302 fall within Nicholas Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51121020302 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51121020302 compare to Blacksburg overall?

Tract 51121020302 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Blacksburg at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Blacksburg

Top eight tracts in Blacksburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.