West Gate of Lomond Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sudley
Tract 51153901601 · Prince William County, VA · pop 4,688 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51153901601 covers part of the West Gate of Lomond area of Sudley, VA, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,688 residents. 68% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Sudley and the region
Centroid at 38.7875, -77.4940 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Gate of Lomond scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow West Gate of Lomond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 9Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2016)
- 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.4%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.7%Food insecurity
- 17.9%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 21.5%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 38.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in West Gate of Lomond
83% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Prince William County average of 43.3%. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $80,387, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
It sits 1.8 points above the Prince William County average of 4.1. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.
At $2,567 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Sudley commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.5% against 11.3% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 9 filings here across 1 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51153901601
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901601?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901601?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901601?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901601?
Is tract 51153901601 considered part of West Gate of Lomond?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901601?
What share of households in tract 51153901601 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901601 compare to Sudley overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Sudley
Top eight tracts in Sudley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.