2 census tracts · pop 4,739 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 4.2–5.7
Chestnut Hill is a 2-tract neighborhood of Richmond, VA and houses 4,739 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Richmond baseline of 31.1%, around two-thirds of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
At $872 a month, rents sit 36% under what the rest of Richmond commands. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 32.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.2 to 5.7, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10.
Disability prevalence reaches 46.2% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Court records carry 1,662 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 42.4% of renter households.
That places it #23 of 54 neighborhoods in Richmond. Judgments average 11.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Chestnut Hill vs RichmondHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport75%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Chestnut Hill
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,662Total filings (sum)
35.70%Avg annual filing rate
42.4%Peak year (2016)
37.86%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chestnut Hill
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
28.6%Housing insecurity
22.5%Utility shutoff threat
36.3%Food insecurity
38.7%SNAP enrollment
13.4%No health insurance
43.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Chestnut Hill
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Chestnut Hill?
Chestnut Hill scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Chestnut Hill compare to Richmond overall?
Chestnut Hill scores 0.4 points higher than Richmond overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 69% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $872 vs $1,372.
Q3
What is the average rent in Chestnut Hill?
Average gross rent in Chestnut Hill is $872/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Chestnut Hill residents are renters?
58% of Chestnut Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 4,739 residents.
Q5
Is Chestnut Hill a high social-vulnerability area?
Chestnut Hill sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Chestnut Hill have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Chestnut Hill is census tract 51760020100 (score 5.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 5.7, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7
How safe is Chestnut Hill for landlords?
Chestnut Hill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Chestnut Hill?
Chestnut Hill has 4,441 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (80.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (13.4%), Other / Multiracial (3.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
