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Neighborhood · Richmond, VA

Carver Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 5,315 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 6–6.3

Carver is a white-black neighborhood in Richmond with 2 census tracts and a population of 5,315 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 80% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 66% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,478/month sits 8% higher than the Richmond citywide average ($1,372).

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Carver vs Richmond How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
79.7% +156%
Richmond: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,478 +8%
Richmond: $1,372
Average HH income
$27,823 -56%
Richmond: $62,671
Poverty rate
53.9% +186%
Richmond: 18.8%
Renter share
79.5% +41%
Richmond: 56.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carver and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6–6.3

Why Carver scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
80% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
80% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
53.9% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–4.4 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Carver vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carver score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Carver: 6.26.2CarverNeighborhoodParent city: 4.74.7Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Carver

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51760040300 6.3 3,133 83% $1,386
51760040201 6 2,182 75% $1,611
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 1%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Carver

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 114Total filings (sum)
  • 9.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.5%Peak year (2013)
  • 7.41%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carver

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carver

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carver?

Carver scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carver compare to Richmond overall?

Carver scores 1.5 points higher than Richmond overall (4.7/10). Renters spend 80% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,478 vs $1,372.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carver?

Average gross rent in Carver is $1,478/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carver residents are renters?

80% of Carver households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 5,315 residents.
Q5

Is Carver a high social-vulnerability area?

Carver sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Carver have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Carver is census tract 51760040300 (score 6.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 6.3, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Carver for landlords?

Carver carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Carver?

Carver has 5,949 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (31.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carver

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Richmond

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carver.

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