2 census tracts · pop 5,315 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10
· range 5.7–5.7
Carver is a 2-tract neighborhood of Richmond, VA, population 5,315. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.7/10, Moderate tier. 66% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Annualized rent equals 64% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. 80% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Richmond rate of 31.1%.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 54%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
SNAP participation is 29.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 32.7% of adults, 14.9 points above the national rate.
On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. Court records for this tract carry 114 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 11.5% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 7.4% in 2016 against a 11.5% peak. At $1,478 a month, rents sit 8% over what the rest of Richmond commands. That places it #1 of 54 neighborhoods in Richmond.
With little internal variation, 5.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Carver vs RichmondHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Carver
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
114Total filings (sum)
9.42%Avg annual filing rate
11.5%Peak year (2013)
7.41%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carver
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
21.0%Housing insecurity
14.6%Utility shutoff threat
33.3%Food insecurity
30.2%SNAP enrollment
12.3%No health insurance
41.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Carver
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Carver?
Carver scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Carver compare to Richmond overall?
Carver scores 1.4 points higher than Richmond overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 80% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,478 vs $1,372.
Q3
What is the average rent in Carver?
Average gross rent in Carver is $1,478/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Carver residents are renters?
80% of Carver households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 5,315 residents.
Q5
Is Carver a high social-vulnerability area?
Carver sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Carver have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Carver is census tract 51760040300 (score 5.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 5.7, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Carver for landlords?
Carver carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Carver?
Carver has 5,949 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (31.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
