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Neighborhood · Richmond, VA

The Fan Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 13,325 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3–5.7

The Fan spans 4 census tracts of Richmond, VA, population 13,325. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 3 to 5.7. A 2.7-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Richmond rate of 31.1%. Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. Court records carry 736 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Food insecurity affects 8.7% of adults, 9.1 points below the national rate. SNAP participation is 6.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 9.6% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,468, 7% above the Richmond average of $1,372. Among the 54 mapped neighborhoods of Richmond, it ranks #25 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 1.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.7 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
The Fan vs Richmond How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.0% +32%
Richmond: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,468 +7%
Richmond: $1,372
Average HH income
$79,841 +27%
Richmond: $62,671
Poverty rate
17.6% -7%
Richmond: 18.8%
Renter share
62.0% +10%
Richmond: 56.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Fan and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–5.7

Why The Fan scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
17.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.5 across tracts
4.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–4.2 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

The Fan vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Fan score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4The FanNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in The Fan?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.7 points from 3 to 5.7. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in The Fan

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51760040400 5.7 3,947 61% $1,315
51760041100 5 3,668 32% $1,574
51760040500 3.1 3,091 37% $1,496
51760041000 3 2,619 28% $1,519
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 50%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 34%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Fan

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 736Total filings (sum)
  • 4.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.99%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Fan

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Fan

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Fan?

The Fan scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Fan compare to Richmond overall?

The Fan scores 0.1 points higher than Richmond overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,468 vs $1,372.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Fan?

Average gross rent in The Fan is $1,468/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Fan residents are renters?

62% of The Fan households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 13,325 residents.
Q5

Is The Fan a high social-vulnerability area?

The Fan sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Fan have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Fan is census tract 51760040400 (score 5.7/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.7, a spread of 2.7 points.
Q7

How safe is The Fan for landlords?

The Fan carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Fan?

The Fan has 13,091 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.5%), Hispanic / Latino (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Fan

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Richmond

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Fan.

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