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Neighborhood · Richmond, VA

Monroe Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,822 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.7–5.7

Monroe Ward is a one-tract neighborhood of Richmond, VA and houses 2,822 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 46% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Richmond rate of 31.1%. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 40%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,266, 8% below the Richmond average of $1,372. That places it #1 of 54 neighborhoods in Richmond.

For a like-for-like read, Carver and Woodstock score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Monroe Ward vs Richmond How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.6% +111%
Richmond: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,266 -8%
Richmond: $1,372
Average HH income
$32,344 -48%
Richmond: $62,671
Poverty rate
39.9% +112%
Richmond: 18.8%
Renter share
99.4% +76%
Richmond: 56.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Monroe Ward and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.7–5.7

Why Monroe Ward scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
99% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
39.9% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Monroe Ward vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Monroe Ward score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7Monroe WardNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Monroe Ward

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51760030501 5.7 2,822 66% $1,266
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 97%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 1%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 100%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Monroe Ward

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Monroe Ward

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Monroe Ward?

Monroe Ward scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Monroe Ward compare to Richmond overall?

Monroe Ward scores 1.4 points higher than Richmond overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,266 vs $1,372.
Q3

What is the average rent in Monroe Ward?

Average gross rent in Monroe Ward is $1,266/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Monroe Ward residents are renters?

99% of Monroe Ward households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 2,822 residents.
Q5

Is Monroe Ward a high social-vulnerability area?

Monroe Ward sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Monroe Ward for landlords?

Monroe Ward carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Monroe Ward?

Monroe Ward has 2,882 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (36.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.1%), Other / Multiracial (11.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Monroe Ward

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Richmond

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Monroe Ward.

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