1 census tracts · pop 4,510 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10
· range 5.7–5.7
South Garden maps to a single census tract in Richmond, VA, population 4,510. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.7/10, in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 40%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Cost burden runs 57% against 31.1% citywide, putting South Garden 25.8% over its own city. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.1/10. The poverty rate is 33%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Set annual rent against average household income of $37,411 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 20.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Running hot is economic stress at 8.3/10. At $1,042 a month, rents sit 24% under what the rest of Richmond commands. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10.
19.1% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Among the 54 mapped neighborhoods of Richmond, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 5.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Garden vs RichmondHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority89%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Garden
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
28.8%Housing insecurity
20.1%Utility shutoff threat
36.7%Food insecurity
36.5%SNAP enrollment
19.1%No health insurance
43.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About South Garden
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for South Garden?
South Garden scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does South Garden compare to Richmond overall?
South Garden scores 1.4 points higher than Richmond overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,042 vs $1,372.
Q3
What is the average rent in South Garden?
Average gross rent in South Garden is $1,042/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of South Garden residents are renters?
56% of South Garden households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 4,510 residents.
Q5
Is South Garden a high social-vulnerability area?
South Garden sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is South Garden for landlords?
South Garden carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of South Garden?
South Garden has 5,140 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (69.8%), Hispanic / Latino (16%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
