Neighborhood · Richmond, VA

South Garden Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,510 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 6.2–6.2

South Garden is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Richmond with 1 census tract and a population of 4,510 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 40% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,042/month sits 24% lower than the Richmond citywide average ($1,372).

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

1 tracts · population-weighted

South Garden vs Richmond How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

56.9% +83%

Richmond: 31.1%

Average gross rent

$1,042 -24%

Richmond: $1,372

Average HH income

$37,411 -40%

Richmond: $62,671

Poverty rate

33.1% +76%

Richmond: 18.8%

Renter share

55.5% -2%

Richmond: 56.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Garden and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.2–6.2

Why South Garden scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts

8.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

57% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

56% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

33.1% below poverty line · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts

1.1

Risk score comparison

South Garden vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in South Garden

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51760070803	6.2	4,510	57%	$1,042

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 99%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 78%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 89%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 74%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Garden

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

28.8%Housing insecurity
20.1%Utility shutoff threat
36.7%Food insecurity
36.5%SNAP enrollment
19.1%No health insurance
43.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About South Garden

What is the eviction-risk score for South Garden?

South Garden scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does South Garden compare to Richmond overall?

South Garden scores 1.5 points higher than Richmond overall (4.7/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,042 vs $1,372.

What is the average rent in South Garden?

Average gross rent in South Garden is $1,042/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of South Garden residents are renters?

56% of South Garden households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 4,510 residents.

Is South Garden a high social-vulnerability area?

South Garden sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is South Garden for landlords?

South Garden carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of South Garden?

South Garden has 5,140 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (69.8%), Hispanic / Latino (16%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Garden

5.3 Pinehurts 2 tracts · pop 4,377 5.6 Clopton 2 tracts · pop 4,889 5.6 Oak Grove 2 tracts · pop 8,199 5.2 Oregon Hill 2 tracts · pop 4,367 3.3 Windsor Farms 2 tracts · pop 3,969 4.3 The Fan 4 tracts · pop 13,325

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Richmond

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Garden.

6.2 Monroe Ward 1 tracts · pop 2,822 6.2 Carver 2 tracts · pop 5,315 6.3 Montrose Heights 1 tracts · pop 2,524 6.3 Gilpin Court 1 tracts · pop 2,685 6.1 Fairmount 2 tracts · pop 6,364 6.1 Woodstock 1 tracts · pop 5,916

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