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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Pinehurts Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760071003 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,556 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

The Pinehurts neighborhood of Richmond anchors census tract 51760071003, which lands at 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,401 monthly, set against $41,708 in average yearly household income, roughly 40% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 30% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,500
Renter share72.8%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$41,708

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Pinehurts
Very Low
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Elevated
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5116, -77.5133 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pinehurts scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,401 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Pinehurts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pinehurts risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 071003Richmond: 4.74.7Richmondparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pinehurts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pinehurts

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760071003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760071003?

Census tract 51760071003 in the Pinehurts neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760071003?

Median gross rent is $1,401/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760071003?

16.0% of residents in tract 51760071003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,556.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760071003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 79th, minority 85th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 51760071003 considered part of Pinehurts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760071003 fall within Pinehurts (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51760071003 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51760071003 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760071003 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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