Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Stowe of Amyclae Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51179010219 · Stafford County, VA · pop 1,414 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51179010219 covers part of the Stowe of Amyclae area of Stafford County, VA, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,414. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 40% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units456
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$203,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
National
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Stafford County and the region
Centroid at 38.4557, -77.4662 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stowe of Amyclae scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Stowe of Amyclae compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 0
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Stowe of Amyclae. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 23.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Stowe of Amyclae
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 40%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.
Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Stafford County average of 4.5 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51179010219
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010219?
Census tract 51179010219 in the Stowe of Amyclae neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010219?
1.4% of residents in tract 51179010219 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,414.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010219?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 4th, minority 62th, housing 0th.
Q4
Is tract 51179010219 considered part of Stowe of Amyclae?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51179010219 fall within Stowe of Amyclae (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 51179010219 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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