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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Stowe of Amyclae Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51179010219 · Stafford County, VA · pop 1,414 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51179010219 (the Stowe of Amyclae neighborhood of Stafford, Virginia) comes in at $1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 37% of US census tracts.

Average household income is about $203,833 a year. Renters make up 0% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 40% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units456
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$203,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Stowe of Amyclae
Very Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 32 tracts In Stafford County
Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#1,772 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
National
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#79,998 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Stafford County and the region

Centroid at 38.4557, -77.4662 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stowe of Amyclae scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Stowe of Amyclae compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stowe of Amyclae risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 010219County: 1.81.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 0

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Stowe of Amyclae. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stowe of Amyclae

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Virginia eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Stafford County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 0th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51179010219

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010219?

Census tract 51179010219 in the Stowe of Amyclae neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010219?

1.4% of residents in tract 51179010219 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,414.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010219?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 4th, minority 62th, housing 0th.
Q4

Is tract 51179010219 considered part of Stowe of Amyclae?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51179010219 fall within Stowe of Amyclae (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 51179010219 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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