Neighborhood · Southern Gateway, VA

Locust Knolls Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,231 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3.1–3.1

Locust Knolls is a diverse neighborhood in Southern Gateway with 1 census tract and a population of 6,231 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 39% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 7% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,961/month sits 5% lower than the Southern Gateway citywide average ($2,073).

Risk score

3.1

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Locust Knolls vs Southern Gateway How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

38.5% +32%

Southern Gateway: 29.1%

Average gross rent

$1,961 -5%

Southern Gateway: $2,073

Average HH income

$93,153 -1%

Southern Gateway: $94,383

Poverty rate

13.3% +74%

Southern Gateway: 7.7%

Renter share

25.3% -67%

Southern Gateway: 75.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Locust Knolls and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.1–3.1

Why Locust Knolls scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Rent control risk

39% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Tenant organizing strength

25% renter households · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts

9.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Economic stress

13.3% below poverty line · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Risk score comparison

Locust Knolls vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Locust Knolls

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51179010304	3.1	6,231	38%	$1,961

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 35%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 61%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 13%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Locust Knolls

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

432Total filings (sum)
22.03%Avg annual filing rate
26.3%Peak year (2015)
17.80%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Locust Knolls

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.6%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
12.3%SNAP enrollment
10.1%No health insurance
34.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Locust Knolls

What is the eviction-risk score for Locust Knolls?

Locust Knolls scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Locust Knolls compare to Southern Gateway overall?

Locust Knolls scores 0.5 points lower than Southern Gateway overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,961 vs $2,073.

What is the average rent in Locust Knolls?

Average gross rent in Locust Knolls is $1,961/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Locust Knolls residents are renters?

25% of Locust Knolls households are renter-occupied (vs 76% in Southern Gateway). The neighborhood has 6,231 residents.

Is Locust Knolls a high social-vulnerability area?

Locust Knolls sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Locust Knolls for landlords?

Locust Knolls carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Southern Gateway as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Locust Knolls?

Locust Knolls has 6,393 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.1%), Hispanic / Latino (18.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Locust Knolls

1.8 Aquia Town Center 2 tracts · pop 9,532 1.7 Aquia 2 tracts · pop 14,123

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Southern Gateway

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Locust Knolls.

1.7 Stafford Lakes Village 1 tracts · pop 7,570

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