Skip to content
Neighborhood · Southern Gateway, VA

Locust Knolls Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 6,231 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 7.3–7.3

Locust Knolls maps to a single census tract in Southern Gateway, VA, population 6,231. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.3/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.

Cost burden runs 39% against 29.1% citywide, putting Locust Knolls 9.4% over its own city. The filing record is not thin: 432 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 26.3% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 17.8% in 2016 against a 26.3% peak.

Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Average gross rent runs $1,961, close to the Southern Gateway average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $93,153.

One tract means one number: 7.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Locust Knolls vs Southern Gateway How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.5% +32%
Southern Gateway: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$1,961 -5%
Southern Gateway: $2,073
Average HH income
$93,153 -1%
Southern Gateway: $94,383
Poverty rate
13.3% +74%
Southern Gateway: 7.7%
Renter share
25.3% -67%
Southern Gateway: 75.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Locust Knolls and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.3–7.3

Why Locust Knolls scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Economic stress
13.3% below poverty line · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Locust Knolls vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Locust Knolls score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.3Locust KnollsNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Locust Knolls

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51179010304 7.3 6,231 38% $1,961
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 35%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 61%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 13%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Locust Knolls

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 432Total filings (sum)
  • 22.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.3%Peak year (2015)
  • 17.80%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Locust Knolls

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Locust Knolls

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Locust Knolls?

Locust Knolls scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Locust Knolls compare to Southern Gateway overall?

Locust Knolls scores 1.4 points higher than Southern Gateway overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,961 vs $2,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in Locust Knolls?

Average gross rent in Locust Knolls is $1,961/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Locust Knolls residents are renters?

25% of Locust Knolls households are renter-occupied (vs 76% in Southern Gateway). The neighborhood has 6,231 residents.
Q5

Is Locust Knolls a high social-vulnerability area?

Locust Knolls sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Locust Knolls for landlords?

Locust Knolls carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Southern Gateway as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Locust Knolls?

Locust Knolls has 6,393 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (54.1%), Hispanic / Latino (18.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Locust Knolls

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Southern Gateway

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Locust Knolls.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further