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Neighborhood · Southern Gateway, VA

Stafford Lakes Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 7,570 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–5.6

Stafford Lakes Village is a one-tract neighborhood of Southern Gateway, VA and houses 7,570 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.6/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 81% against 29.1% citywide, putting Stafford Lakes Village 51.4% over its own city.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

SNAP participation is 6.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.7% of adults, 9.1 points below the national rate. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Against average income of $131,250, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,183, close to the Southern Gateway average.

One tract means one number: 5.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Stafford Lakes Village vs Southern Gateway How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
80.5% +177%
Southern Gateway: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$2,183 +5%
Southern Gateway: $2,073
Average HH income
$131,250 +39%
Southern Gateway: $94,383
Poverty rate
5.1% -33%
Southern Gateway: 7.7%
Renter share
21.7% -71%
Southern Gateway: 75.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Stafford Lakes Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.6–5.6

Why Stafford Lakes Village scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Rent control risk
81% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Economic stress
5.1% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison

Stafford Lakes Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Stafford Lakes Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.6Stafford Lakes VilNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Stafford Lakes Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51179010307 5.6 7,570 80% $2,183
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Stafford Lakes Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Stafford Lakes Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Stafford Lakes Village?

Stafford Lakes Village scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Stafford Lakes Village compare to Southern Gateway overall?

Stafford Lakes Village scores 0.3 points lower than Southern Gateway overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 81% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,183 vs $2,073.
Q3

What is the average rent in Stafford Lakes Village?

Average gross rent in Stafford Lakes Village is $2,183/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Stafford Lakes Village residents are renters?

22% of Stafford Lakes Village households are renter-occupied (vs 76% in Southern Gateway). The neighborhood has 7,570 residents.
Q5

Is Stafford Lakes Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Stafford Lakes Village sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Stafford Lakes Village for landlords?

Stafford Lakes Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Southern Gateway as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Stafford Lakes Village?

Stafford Lakes Village has 7,630 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.2%), Hispanic / Latino (18%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Stafford Lakes Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Southern Gateway

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Stafford Lakes Village.

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