Stafford Lakes Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Southern Gateway
Tract 51179010307 · Stafford County, VA · pop 7,570 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 51179010307 in the Stafford Lakes Village area of Southern Gateway, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,570. Against Stafford County at 41.0%, 80% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Southern Gateway and the region
Centroid at 38.3456, -77.5376 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stafford Lakes Village scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Stafford Lakes Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Stafford Lakes Village
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.1/10.
Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10.
Against the Stafford County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,183, close to the Southern Gateway average.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $131,250.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51179010307
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010307?
What is the average rent in tract 51179010307?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010307?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010307?
Is tract 51179010307 considered part of Stafford Lakes Village?
What share of households in tract 51179010307 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51179010307 compare to Southern Gateway overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Southern Gateway
Top eight tracts in Southern Gateway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.