Baylake Beach Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 33.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,261, 32% above the Virginia Beach average of $1,714.

Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 8.3/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 4.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Among the 53 mapped neighborhoods of Virginia Beach, it ranks #40 by risk, the lower third. For a like-for-like read, Lynn Shores and Glenwood score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $103,841.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.