Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Baylake Beach Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810041803 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,287 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
51810041803 is a census tract in the Baylake Beach area of Virginia Beach, VA. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. Against Virginia Beach City at 46.1%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,578
Renter share31.9%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$103,841
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.9058, -76.1007 · click any tract to drill in
Why Baylake Beach scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,261 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Baylake Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.4%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 23.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Baylake Beach
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 33.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Average gross rent is $2,261, 32% above the Virginia Beach average. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.3/10.
Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Food insecurity runs 6.4% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810041803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810041803?
Census tract 51810041803 in the Baylake Beach neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810041803?
Median gross rent is $2,261/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810041803?
4.2% of residents in tract 51810041803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,287.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810041803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 6th, minority 13th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 51810041803 considered part of Baylake Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810041803 fall within Baylake Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51810041803 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51810041803 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810041803 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Euclid Terrace
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Thalia Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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