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Neighborhood · Virginia Beach, VA

Lawson Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 18,067 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 3.2–5.2

Lawson Forest takes in 3 census tracts of Virginia Beach, VA and houses 18,067 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.3/10, Moderate tier. 48% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Virginia Beach rate of 32.2%.

The severe-burden share is 31%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.2 to 5.2. A 2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Filings are well documented here: 725 across 2 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 16%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 62.6% of renter households. At $1,593 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Virginia Beach commands. Among the 53 mapped neighborhoods of Virginia Beach, it ranks #13 by risk, the upper third.

Judgments average 6.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Thalia Manor and Green Run. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $71,650.

45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Lawson Forest vs Virginia Beach How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.3% +50%
Virginia Beach: 32.2%
Average gross rent
$1,593 -7%
Virginia Beach: $1,714
Average HH income
$71,650 -21%
Virginia Beach: $90,685
Poverty rate
16.1% +92%
Virginia Beach: 8.4%
Renter share
44.9% +29%
Virginia Beach: 34.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawson Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.2–5.2

Why Lawson Forest scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
45% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
16.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–9.6 across tracts
4.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–6.6 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison

Lawson Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lawson Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.3Lawson ForestNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lawson Forest?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2 points from 3.2 to 5.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Lawson Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51810040200 5.2 5,468 49% $1,315
51810040405 5.2 4,222 52% $1,202
51810040404 3.2 8,377 46% $1,971
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 49%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 67%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lawson Forest

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 725Total filings (sum)
  • 30.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 62.6%Peak year (2016)
  • 30.52%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lawson Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lawson Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lawson Forest?

Lawson Forest scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lawson Forest compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Lawson Forest scores 0.5 points higher than Virginia Beach overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,593 vs $1,714.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lawson Forest?

Average gross rent in Lawson Forest is $1,593/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lawson Forest residents are renters?

45% of Lawson Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Virginia Beach). The neighborhood has 18,067 residents.
Q5

Is Lawson Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Lawson Forest sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lawson Forest have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lawson Forest is census tract 51810040200 (score 5.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 5.2, a spread of 2 points.
Q7

How safe is Lawson Forest for landlords?

Lawson Forest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Virginia Beach as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lawson Forest?

Lawson Forest has 17,866 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (40.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (38.5%), Hispanic / Latino (8.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lawson Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Virginia Beach

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lawson Forest.

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