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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Esther Short Eviction Risk: Elevated , Vancouver

Tract 53011042400 · Clark County, WA · pop 2,103 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 53011042400 covers Esther Short in Vancouver, home to 2,103 residents. For landlords it grades 5.9/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,700 a month against an average household income of $56,719 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. Renters make up 83% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 40% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,348
Renter share82.9%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate22.3%
Median income$56,719

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Esther Short
Moderate
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 51 tracts In Vancouver
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 115 tracts In Clark County
Very High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#215 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Vancouver and the region

Centroid at 45.6255, -122.6805 · click any tract to drill in

Why Esther Short scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Vancouver
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
22.3% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,700 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vancouver
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5

How Esther Short compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Esther Short risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 042400Vancouver: 7.27.2Vancouverparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 58Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 1.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2012)
  • 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530110424002004: 9 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)2009: 7 filings (1.22/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (1.65/100 renter HHs)2013: 7 filings (0.96/100 renter HHs)2015: 10 filings (1.38/100 renter HHs)2016: 5 filings (0.72/100 renter HHs)2017: 3 filings (0.43/100 renter HHs)2018: 5 filings (0.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 8 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Esther Short

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Vancouver eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Clark County average of 5.1 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 58 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 1.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.7% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 53011042400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53011042400?

Census tract 53011042400 in the Esther Short neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53011042400?

Median gross rent is $1,700/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53011042400?

22.3% of residents in tract 53011042400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,103.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53011042400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 34th, minority 38th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 53011042400 considered part of Esther Short?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53011042400 fall within Esther Short (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53011042400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 58 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 53011042400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.20% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53011042400 compare to Vancouver overall?

Tract 53011042400 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Vancouver at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vancouver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Vancouver

Top eight tracts in Vancouver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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