Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Bagley Downs Eviction Risk: High , Vancouver
Tract 53011041111 · Clark County, WA · pop 4,175 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 53011041111 in the Bagley Downs area of Vancouver, WA reads high for landlord eviction risk. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 54%
Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units1,595
Renter share93.7%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$57,218
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Vancouver and the region
Centroid at 45.6456, -122.6089 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bagley Downs scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Vancouver
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,433 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vancouver
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5
How Bagley Downs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 324Total filings over 8 yrs
- 5.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2018)
- 50Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 8 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bagley Downs
It sits 2.3 points above the Clark County average of 5.7. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.2/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Average gross rent is $1,433, 16% below the Vancouver average. Court records carry 324 eviction filings across 8 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2018, when 4.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $57,218.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 53011041111
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53011041111?
Census tract 53011041111 in the Bagley Downs neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53011041111?
Median gross rent is $1,433/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53011041111?
16.6% of residents in tract 53011041111 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,175.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53011041111?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 81th, minority 75th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 53011041111 considered part of Bagley Downs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53011041111 fall within Bagley Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53011041111?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 324 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 53011041111 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.53% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53011041111 compare to Vancouver overall?
Tract 53011041111 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Vancouver at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vancouver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Vancouver
Top eight tracts in Vancouver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
Esther Short
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Kevanna Park
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Central Park
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Maplewood
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Kevanna Park
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Landover-Sharmel
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Meadow Homes
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
53011041005
8
/ 10 · High
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