Fourth Plain Village Eviction Risk: High , Vancouver
Tract 53011041700 ·
Clark County, WA · pop 3,915 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 53011041700 in the Fourth Plain Village area of Vancouver, WA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,915. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%Stable renters 32%Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,774
Renter share71.1%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$65,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Fourth Plain Village
Moderate
Within parent city
96th percentile
#3 of 51 tracts In Vancouver
Very High
Within county
97th percentile
#4 of 115 tracts In Clark County
Very High
Within state
93th percentile
#125 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Vancouver and the region
Centroid at 45.6411, -122.6398 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fourth Plain Village scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Vancouver
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,315 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vancouver
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5
How Fourth Plain Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
82%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
410Total filings over 8 yrs
5.26%Avg annual filing rate
6.8%Peak (2012)
28Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2004 to 2018
Filings dropped 52% over the past 8 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fourth Plain Village
It sits 2.3 points above the Clark County average of 5.7. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Clark County average of 43.7%. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.6/10.
This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Average gross rent is $1,315, 23% below the Vancouver average. Court records carry 410 eviction filings across 8 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 6.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $65,000.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 53011041700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53011041700?
Census tract 53011041700 in the Fourth Plain Village neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53011041700?
Median gross rent is $1,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53011041700?
15.3% of residents in tract 53011041700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,915.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53011041700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 53th, minority 67th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 53011041700 considered part of Fourth Plain Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53011041700 fall within Fourth Plain Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53011041700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 410 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 53011041700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.26% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53011041700 compare to Vancouver overall?
Tract 53011041700 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Vancouver at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vancouver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Vancouver
Top eight tracts in Vancouver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.