Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Esther Short Eviction Risk: High , Vancouver
Tract 53011042400 · Clark County, WA · pop 2,103 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 53011042400 in the Esther Short area of Vancouver, WA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,103. Against the Clark County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,348
Renter share82.9%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate22.3%
Median income$56,719
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Vancouver and the region
Centroid at 45.6255, -122.6805 · click any tract to drill in
Why Esther Short scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Vancouver
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
22.3% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,700 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vancouver
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5
How Esther Short compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 58Total filings over 8 yrs
- 1.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.7%Peak (2012)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 8 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Esther Short
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Set annual rent against average income of $56,719 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Against Clark County at 43.7%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 58 filings here across 8 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2012 at 1.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.9/10. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53011042400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53011042400?
Census tract 53011042400 in the Esther Short neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53011042400?
Median gross rent is $1,700/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53011042400?
22.3% of residents in tract 53011042400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,103.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53011042400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 34th, minority 38th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 53011042400 considered part of Esther Short?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53011042400 fall within Esther Short (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53011042400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 58 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 53011042400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.20% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53011042400 compare to Vancouver overall?
Tract 53011042400 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Vancouver at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vancouver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Vancouver
Top eight tracts in Vancouver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
Landover-Sharmel
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
53011041005
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Meadow Homes
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Fourth Plain Village
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Bagley Downs
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Vancouver Mall
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Cascade Highlands
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Ogden
8
/ 10 · High
Related