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Neighborhood · Vancouver, WA

Lincoln Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 1,759 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 7–7

Lincoln is a one-tract suburb of Vancouver, WA, population 1,759. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7/10, in the Elevated tier. 52% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Vancouver rate of 31.8%.

Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Court records for this tract carry 24 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 1.9% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 1.0% in 2018, is well off that peak. Among the 39 mapped neighborhoods of Vancouver, it ranks #24 by risk, the middle third.

Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are South Cliff and Riveridge. Against average income of $110,739, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion.

Average gross rent runs $1,676, close to the Vancouver average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln vs Vancouver How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.9% +63%
Vancouver: 31.8%
Average gross rent
$1,676 -2%
Vancouver: $1,702
Average HH income
$110,739 +42%
Vancouver: $78,156
Poverty rate
15.6% +40%
Vancouver: 11.1%
Renter share
25.3% -49%
Vancouver: 49.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7–7

Why Lincoln scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
15.6% below poverty line · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Risk score comparison

Lincoln vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lincoln score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.0LincolnNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city6.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lincoln

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53011042000 7 1,759 52% $1,676
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 45%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 45%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lincoln

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 24Total filings (sum)
  • 1.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak year (2012)
  • 1.01%Latest filed (2018)
Frequently asked

About Lincoln

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln?

Lincoln scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lincoln compare to Vancouver overall?

Lincoln scores 0.4 points higher than Vancouver overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,676 vs $1,702.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lincoln?

Average gross rent in Lincoln is $1,676/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lincoln residents are renters?

25% of Lincoln households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Vancouver). The neighborhood has 1,759 residents.
Q5

Is Lincoln a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lincoln for landlords?

Lincoln carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Vancouver as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln?

Lincoln has 1,755 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.1%), Hispanic / Latino (13%), Other / Multiracial (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Vancouver

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln.

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