Neighborhood · Vancouver, WA

Northcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,832 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Northcrest is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Vancouver with 1 census tract and a population of 1,832 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 22% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,230/month sits 28% lower than the Vancouver citywide average ($1,702).

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Northcrest vs Vancouver How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

21.5% -32%

Vancouver: 31.8%

Average gross rent

$1,230 -28%

Vancouver: $1,702

Average HH income

$90,865 +16%

Vancouver: $78,156

Poverty rate

17.8% +60%

Vancouver: 11.1%

Renter share

37.0% -25%

Vancouver: 49.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northcrest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Northcrest scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Rent control risk

22% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

37% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Economic stress

17.8% below poverty line · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts

1.2

Risk score comparison

Northcrest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Northcrest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
53011042900	5.5	1,832	22%	$1,230

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 61

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 50%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 94%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 39%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northcrest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

30Total filings (sum)
1.60%Avg annual filing rate
3.0%Peak year (2013)
1.66%Latest filed (2018)

Frequently asked

About Northcrest

What is the eviction-risk score for Northcrest?

Northcrest scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Northcrest compare to Vancouver overall?

Northcrest scores 1.7 points lower than Vancouver overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 22% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,230 vs $1,702.

What is the average rent in Northcrest?

Average gross rent in Northcrest is $1,230/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Northcrest residents are renters?

37% of Northcrest households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Vancouver). The neighborhood has 1,832 residents.

Is Northcrest a high social-vulnerability area?

Northcrest sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Northcrest for landlords?

Northcrest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Vancouver as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Northcrest?

Northcrest has 1,850 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.5%), Hispanic / Latino (18.9%), Other / Multiracial (8.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northcrest

4.7 Vancouver Mall 3 tracts · pop 13,336 4.9 Ellsworth Springs 2 tracts · pop 6,107 4.9 Fircrest 2 tracts · pop 9,906 6.1 Kevanna Park 2 tracts · pop 5,942 3.9 Walnut Grove 2 tracts · pop 7,675 5.1 Riveridge 2 tracts · pop 9,716

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Vancouver

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northcrest.

5.5 Carter Park 1 tracts · pop 3,187 5.5 Arnada 1 tracts · pop 1,617 5.4 Northwood 1 tracts · pop 2,147 5.7 Rose Village 1 tracts · pop 4,333 5.3 Shumway 1 tracts · pop 2,140 5.2 North Image 1 tracts · pop 5,190

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