Shag - Auburn Court Eviction Risk: Elevated

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. The severe-burden share is 14%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

At $1,470 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Auburn commands. Court records for this tract carry 232 eviction filings.

The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 3.4% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 3.0% in 2013 against a 3.4% peak.

That places it #6 of 10 neighborhoods in Auburn. The closest comparables inside the same city are Lea Hill and Burndale Homes.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $89,375, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion.

One tract means one number: 6.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.