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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Aspen Eviction Risk: Lower , Mill Creek

Tract 53061052007 · Snohomish County, WA · pop 5,574 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

How risky is the Aspen area of Mill Creek for landlords? Census tract 53061052007 scores 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.

About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,060 a month against an average household income of $158,790 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 4% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,736
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$158,790

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Aspen
Very Low
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Mill Creek
High
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#160 of 173 tracts In Snohomish County
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#1,720 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mill Creek and the region

Centroid at 47.8395, -122.1993 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aspen scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mill Creek
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,060 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mill Creek
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mill Creek
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mill Creek
4.1

How Aspen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aspen risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 052007Mill Creek: 6.86.8Mill Creekparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 0.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.6%Peak (2014)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530610520072008: 2 filings (0.71/100 renter HHs)2014: 3 filings (1.55/100 renter HHs)2015: 2 filings (1.03/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (0.66/100 renter HHs)2017: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aspen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aspen

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mill Creek, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Snohomish County average of 5.2 and in line with the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 9 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 1.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.6% of renter households in 2014.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 53061052007

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53061052007?

Census tract 53061052007 in the Aspen neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53061052007?

Median gross rent is $3,060/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53061052007?

4.2% of residents in tract 53061052007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,574.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53061052007?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 17th, minority 59th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 53061052007 considered part of Aspen?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53061052007 fall within Aspen (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53061052007?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 53061052007 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.99% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53061052007 compare to Mill Creek overall?

Tract 53061052007 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Mill Creek at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mill Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mill Creek

Top eight tracts in Mill Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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