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Neighborhood · SeaTac, WA

Orillia Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 11,606 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10 · range 6.5–7.9

Orillia spans 2 census tracts of SeaTac, WA and houses 11,606 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.2/10, in the Elevated tier. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.6/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.5 to 7.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Against a SeaTac baseline of 34.5%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. Filings are well documented here: 560 across 2 observed tracts.

Average gross rent is $1,907, 15% above the SeaTac average of $1,660. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 8.4% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 1.9% in 2013, is well off that peak. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $92,689.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Orillia vs SeaTac How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.9% +19%
SeaTac: 34.5%
Average gross rent
$1,907 +15%
SeaTac: $1,660
Average HH income
$92,689 +21%
SeaTac: $76,517
Poverty rate
6.3% -39%
SeaTac: 10.4%
Renter share
53.4% 0%
SeaTac: 53.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orillia and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.5–7.9

Why Orillia scores 7.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 6.2–7.8 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
53% renter households · Range 9.4–9.6 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.6 across tracts
6.3
Economic stress
6.3% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.9 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–2.8 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Orillia vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Orillia score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.2OrilliaNeighborhood6.9Parent cityhost city6.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Orillia

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
53033026200 7.9 6,140 35% $1,761
53033028300 6.5 5,466 47% $2,070
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 29%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Orillia

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 560Total filings (sum)
  • 3.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.4%Peak year (2011)
  • 1.89%Latest filed (2013)
Frequently asked

About Orillia

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Orillia?

Orillia scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Orillia compare to SeaTac overall?

Orillia scores 0.3 points higher than SeaTac overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,907 vs $1,660.
Q3

What is the average rent in Orillia?

Average gross rent in Orillia is $1,907/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Orillia residents are renters?

53% of Orillia households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in SeaTac). The neighborhood has 11,606 residents.
Q5

Is Orillia a high social-vulnerability area?

Orillia sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Orillia have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Orillia is census tract 53033026200 (score 7.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 7.9, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Orillia for landlords?

Orillia carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to SeaTac as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Orillia?

Orillia has 11,610 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (34.9%), Hispanic / Latino (21.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Orillia

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside SeaTac

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Orillia.

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