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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Lawton Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Seattle

Tract 53033004703 · King County, WA · pop 4,074 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 53033004703 sits in the Lawton Park area of Seattle eviction risk, WA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. Population here is 4,074. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9.5/10.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 51% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units2,082
Renter share74.8%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$160,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Lawton Park
Very Low
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#168 of 177 tracts In Seattle
Very Low
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#257 of 494 tracts In King County
Moderate
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#569 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.6643, -122.3721 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lawton Park scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,062 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5

How Lawton Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lawton Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 004703Seattle: 7.97.9Seattleparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lawton Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lawton Park

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. Cost burden runs 32% here against 44.1% across King County.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Disability prevalence runs 14.8% against 31.5% nationally. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $160,833, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033004703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033004703?

Census tract 53033004703 in the Lawton Park neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53033004703?

Median gross rent is $2,062/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033004703?

2.0% of residents in tract 53033004703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,074.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033004703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 1th, minority 39th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 53033004703 considered part of Lawton Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033004703 fall within Lawton Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 53033004703 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033004703 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 53033004703 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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