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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

South Lake Union Eviction Risk: High , Seattle

Tract 53033007404 · King County, WA · pop 2,973 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 53033007404 covers part of the South Lake Union area of Seattle, WA, and scores 8.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,973. The dominant input is local political climate at 9.5/10.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 43% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units2,014
Renter share80.5%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$99,227

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 10 tracts In South Lake Union
Elevated
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 177 tracts In Seattle
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 494 tracts In King County
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#86 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.6231, -122.3265 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Lake Union scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,860 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5

How South Lake Union compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Lake Union risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.38.3This tracttract 007404Seattle: 7.97.9Seattleparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Lake Union. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Lake Union

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Disability prevalence runs 15.2% against 31.5% nationally. Against the King County average of 6.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,860, 8% below the Seattle average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 92nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033007404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033007404?

Census tract 53033007404 in the South Lake Union neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53033007404?

Median gross rent is $1,860/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033007404?

9.0% of residents in tract 53033007404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,973.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033007404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 2th, minority 46th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 53033007404 considered part of South Lake Union?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033007404 fall within South Lake Union (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 53033007404 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033007404 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 53033007404 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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