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Neighborhood · Keyport, WA

Central Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,863 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Central Valley is a one-tract neighborhood of Keyport, WA, population 4,863. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.9/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 50% against 35.6% citywide, putting Central Valley 13.9% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 35%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 1.7% of renter households.

Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $2,104, close to the Keyport average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $121,817.

One tract means one number: 4.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Central Valley vs Keyport How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.5% +39%
Keyport: 35.6%
Average gross rent
$2,104 -4%
Keyport: $2,182
Average HH income
$121,817 -8%
Keyport: $133,086
Poverty rate
4.0% -44%
Keyport: 7.1%
Renter share
14.8% -71%
Keyport: 50.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Central Valley scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
15% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
4.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Risk score comparison

Central Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Central Valley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9Central ValleyNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city6.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Central Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53035091100 4.9 4,863 50% $2,104
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 11%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 29%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central Valley

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings (sum)
  • 1.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak year (2015)
  • 1.69%Latest filed (2015)
Frequently asked

About Central Valley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Valley?

Central Valley scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Central Valley compare to Keyport overall?

Central Valley scores 1.0 points lower than Keyport overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $2,104 vs $2,182.
Q3

What is the average rent in Central Valley?

Average gross rent in Central Valley is $2,104/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Central Valley residents are renters?

15% of Central Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Keyport). The neighborhood has 4,863 residents.
Q5

Is Central Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Valley sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Central Valley for landlords?

Central Valley carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Keyport as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Valley?

Central Valley has 4,945 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.3%), Hispanic / Latino (9.8%), Other / Multiracial (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Valley

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