McCarver Neighborhood Eviction Risk: High , Tacoma

90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.3/10. Set annual rent against average income of $41,464 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.8/10. At $1,291 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Tacoma commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

Court records carry 743 eviction filings across 11 observed years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 8.3% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Tacoma. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.