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Neighborhood · Tacoma, WA

Lincoln Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,972 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.3

Lincoln is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Tacoma with 1 census tract and a population of 1,972 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,458/month sits 13% lower than the Tacoma citywide average ($1,676).

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln vs Tacoma How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.3% +58%
Tacoma: 32.4%
Average gross rent
$1,458 -13%
Tacoma: $1,676
Average HH income
$75,366 -10%
Tacoma: $83,857
Poverty rate
8.5% -29%
Tacoma: 12.0%
Renter share
54.2% +23%
Tacoma: 44.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.3–5.3

Why Lincoln scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
8.5% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Lincoln vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lincoln score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lincoln: 5.35.3LincolnNeighborhoodParent city: 7.87.8Parent cityhost cityState: 7.07.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lincoln

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53053061900 5.3 1,972 51% $1,458
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 88

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 92%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lincoln

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 116Total filings (sum)
  • 2.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak year (2014)
  • 3.23%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 53Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly observed
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.89×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO).

Frequently asked

About Lincoln

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln?

Lincoln scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lincoln compare to Tacoma overall?

Lincoln scores 2.5 points lower than Tacoma overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,458 vs $1,676.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lincoln?

Average gross rent in Lincoln is $1,458/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lincoln residents are renters?

54% of Lincoln households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Tacoma). The neighborhood has 1,972 residents.
Q5

Is Lincoln a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln sits in the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lincoln for landlords?

Lincoln carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tacoma as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln?

Lincoln has 1,908 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.1%), Other / Multiracial (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tacoma

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln.

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