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Neighborhood · Tacoma, WA

Lincoln Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 1,972 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.5/10 · range 7.5–7.5

Lincoln is a one-tract neighborhood of Tacoma, WA and houses 1,972 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.5/10, Elevated tier. Cost burden runs about half against 32.4% citywide, putting Lincoln 18.9% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 2.1/10.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 116 evictions logged in this tract. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,458, 13% below the Tacoma average of $1,676. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 4.9% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 3.2% in 2015 against a 4.9% peak. Among the 23 mapped neighborhoods of Tacoma, it ranks #13 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Orchard Glen and Lincoln International District score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $75,366.

54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 7.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln vs Tacoma How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.3% +58%
Tacoma: 32.4%
Average gross rent
$1,458 -13%
Tacoma: $1,676
Average HH income
$75,366 -10%
Tacoma: $83,857
Poverty rate
8.5% -29%
Tacoma: 12.0%
Renter share
54.2% +23%
Tacoma: 44.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.5–7.5

Why Lincoln scores 7.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
8.5% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Lincoln vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lincoln score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.5LincolnNeighborhood7.0Parent cityhost city6.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lincoln

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53053061900 7.5 1,972 51% $1,458
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 88

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 92%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lincoln

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 116Total filings (sum)
  • 2.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak year (2014)
  • 3.23%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 53Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly observed
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.89×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO).

Frequently asked

About Lincoln

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln?

Lincoln scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lincoln compare to Tacoma overall?

Lincoln scores 0.5 points higher than Tacoma overall (7/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,458 vs $1,676.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lincoln?

Average gross rent in Lincoln is $1,458/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lincoln residents are renters?

54% of Lincoln households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Tacoma). The neighborhood has 1,972 residents.
Q5

Is Lincoln a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln sits in the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lincoln for landlords?

Lincoln carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tacoma as a whole (7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln?

Lincoln has 1,908 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.1%), Other / Multiracial (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tacoma

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln.

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