Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tacoma
Tract 53053061900 · Pierce County, WA · pop 1,972 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of $1/10, tract 53053061900 in the Lincoln neighborhood of Tacoma ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,972 residents. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,458 monthly, set against $75,366 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units852
Renter share54.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$75,366
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tacoma and the region
Centroid at 47.2277, -122.4342 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tacoma
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,458 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tacoma
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5
How Lincoln compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 7%Grade B
- 59%Grade C
- 29%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 116Total filings over 11 yrs
- 2.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2014)
- 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 53Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.89×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked St Louis, MO as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pierce County average of 5.5 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 116 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.9% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 53053061900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53053061900?
Census tract 53053061900 in the Lincoln neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53053061900?
Median gross rent is $1,458/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53053061900?
8.5% of residents in tract 53053061900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,972.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53053061900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 92th, minority 62th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 53053061900 considered part of Lincoln?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53053061900 fall within Lincoln (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53053061900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 116 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53053061900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.69% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 53053061900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.89× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 53053061900 compare to Tacoma overall?
Tract 53053061900 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Tacoma at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 53053061900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tacoma
Top eight tracts in Tacoma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
Stadium District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Salishan
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
McCarver Neighborhood
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Larchmont
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Dixon Village
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
International District
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Stadium District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
The Verandas
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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