Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard Glen Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tacoma
Tract 53053062802 · Pierce County, WA · pop 4,259 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 53053062802 sits in the Orchard Glen area of Tacoma eviction risk, WA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. Population here is 4,259. Against Pierce County at 47.5%, 25% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,546
Renter share26.3%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$82,444
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tacoma and the region
Centroid at 47.1940, -122.4965 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard Glen scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tacoma
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,497 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tacoma
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5
How Orchard Glen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 28%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 168Total filings over 11 yrs
- 3.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2005)
- 18Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 63Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked St Louis, MO as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard Glen
It sits 1.8 points above the Pierce County average of 5.7. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 7.8/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 168 filings here across 11 tracked years. At $1,497 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Tacoma commands.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 4.5% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Tacoma. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53053062802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53053062802?
Census tract 53053062802 in the Orchard Glen neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53053062802?
Median gross rent is $1,497/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53053062802?
9.9% of residents in tract 53053062802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,259.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53053062802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 77th, minority 62th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 53053062802 considered part of Orchard Glen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53053062802 fall within Orchard Glen (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53053062802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 168 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53053062802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.15% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 53053062802 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 53053062802 compare to Tacoma overall?
Tract 53053062802 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Tacoma at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 53053062802 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tacoma
Top eight tracts in Tacoma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
Larchmont
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
International District
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Oakridge
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Salishan
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Oakland Madrona
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
The Verandas
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
6th Avenue
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Dixon Village
8.4
/ 10 · High
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