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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Bay Hill Eviction Risk: High , Olympia

Tract 53067010510 · Thurston County, WA · pop 3,657 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

53067010510 is a census tract in the Bay Hill area of Olympia, WA. It scores 8.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,657. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 32% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,942
Renter share84.4%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate23.3%
Median income$46,793

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bay Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 15 tracts In Olympia
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 61 tracts In Thurston County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Olympia and the region

Centroid at 47.0417, -122.9442 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay Hill scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Olympia
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
23.3% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Olympia
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Olympia
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Olympia
7.4

How Bay Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bay Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.4This tracttract 0105107.0Olympiaparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bay Hill

63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Thurston County average of 47.2%. It sits 2.6 points above the Thurston County average of 5.8.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $46,793, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.2/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,566, close to the Olympia average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 53067010510

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53067010510?

Census tract 53067010510 in the Bay Hill neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53067010510?

Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53067010510?

23.3% of residents in tract 53067010510 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,657.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53067010510?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 86th, minority 45th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 53067010510 considered part of Bay Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53067010510 fall within Bay Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 53067010510 compare to Olympia overall?

Tract 53067010510 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Olympia at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Olympia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Olympia

Top eight tracts in Olympia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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