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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,888 of 84,120 nationally

Happy Valley Eviction Risk: High , Bellingham

Tract 53073001204 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 4,489 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 53073001204 sits in the Happy Valley area of Bellingham eviction risk, WA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.7/10. Population here is 4,489. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 21% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,519
Renter share66.4%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate35.3%
Median income$38,565

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Happy Valley
Very Low
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 23 tracts In Bellingham
High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 54 tracts In Whatcom County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellingham and the region

Centroid at 48.7229, -122.4787 · click any tract to drill in

Why Happy Valley scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bellingham
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
35.3% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,278 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellingham
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellingham
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellingham
8.1

How Happy Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Happy Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.7This tracttract 0012047.3Bellinghamparent city5.9Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Happy Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Happy Valley

Against Whatcom County at 49.6%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Whatcom County average of 5.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.8 points.

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. Set annual rent against average income of $38,565 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.8/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Average gross rent is $1,278, 19% below the Bellingham average. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 53073001204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073001204?

Census tract 53073001204 in the Happy Valley neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53073001204?

Median gross rent is $1,278/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53073001204?

35.3% of residents in tract 53073001204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,489.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53073001204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 11th, minority 48th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 53073001204 considered part of Happy Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073001204 fall within Happy Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 53073001204 compare to Bellingham overall?

Tract 53073001204 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of Bellingham at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bellingham

Top eight tracts in Bellingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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