Neighborhood · Madison, WI

Bay Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,631 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1–4.1

Bay Creek is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Madison with 1 census tract and a population of 2,631 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 38% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 10% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,230/month sits 13% lower than the Madison citywide average ($1,413).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Bay Creek vs Madison How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

38.4% +28%

Madison: 30.1%

Average gross rent

$1,230 -13%

Madison: $1,413

Average HH income

$108,500 +41%

Madison: $76,983

Poverty rate

12.5% -23%

Madison: 16.2%

Renter share

52.1% -4%

Madison: 54.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1–4.1

Why Bay Creek scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts

2.9

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Rent control risk

38% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

52% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Economic stress

12.5% below poverty line · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts

3.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Risk score comparison

Bay Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Bay Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
55025001300	4.1	2,631	38%	$1,230

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 18%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 23%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 63%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bay Creek

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

99Total filings (sum)
1.19%Avg annual filing rate
2.4%Peak year (2008)
0.81%Latest filed (2017)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bay Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.8%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
7.2%Food insecurity
7.0%SNAP enrollment
5.1%No health insurance
21.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Bay Creek

What is the eviction-risk score for Bay Creek?

Bay Creek scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bay Creek compare to Madison overall?

Bay Creek scores 0.5 points higher than Madison overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,230 vs $1,413.

What is the average rent in Bay Creek?

Average gross rent in Bay Creek is $1,230/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bay Creek residents are renters?

52% of Bay Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Madison). The neighborhood has 2,631 residents.

Is Bay Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Bay Creek sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Bay Creek for landlords?

Bay Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Madison as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bay Creek?

Bay Creek has 2,510 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.3%), Other / Multiracial (5.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bay Creek

7.1 Mifflin West 2 tracts · pop 13,621 7 South Campus 2 tracts · pop 9,105 4.9 Regent 2 tracts · pop 8,345 3.5 Belle Isle 2 tracts · pop 3,201 4.2 Lake Edge 2 tracts · pop 5,331 4.4 Glen Oak Hills 2 tracts · pop 4,351

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Madison

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bay Creek.

4.1 Spring Harbor 1 tracts · pop 2,453 4.1 Newberry Heights 2 tracts · pop 6,604 4 Sunset Hills 1 tracts · pop 3,901 4 Schenk's Corners 1 tracts · pop 3,055 4.2 Lake Edge 2 tracts · pop 5,331 4.2 Maple-Prairie 1 tracts · pop 3,556

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