1 census tracts · pop 2,631 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10
· range 4.5–4.5
Bay Creek maps to a single census tract in Madison, WI, population 2,631. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 38% against 30.1% citywide, putting Bay Creek 8.3% over its own city.
What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Court records for this tract carry 99 eviction filings. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
Severe burden reaches 10%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 4.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Average gross rent is $1,230, 13% below the Madison average of $1,413. The worst year on record was 2008, when filings touched 2.4% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 0.8% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 61 mapped neighborhoods of Madison, it ranks #40 by risk, the middle third. Against average income of $108,500, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion.
52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bay Creek vs MadisonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority23%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Bay Creek
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
99Total filings (sum)
1.19%Avg annual filing rate
2.4%Peak year (2008)
0.81%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bay Creek
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.8%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
7.2%Food insecurity
7.0%SNAP enrollment
5.1%No health insurance
21.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Bay Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bay Creek?
Bay Creek scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bay Creek compare to Madison overall?
Bay Creek scores 0.1 points lower than Madison overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,230 vs $1,413.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bay Creek?
Average gross rent in Bay Creek is $1,230/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bay Creek residents are renters?
52% of Bay Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Madison). The neighborhood has 2,631 residents.
Q5
Is Bay Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Bay Creek sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Bay Creek for landlords?
Bay Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Madison as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Bay Creek?
Bay Creek has 2,510 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.3%), Other / Multiracial (5.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
