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Neighborhood · Madison, WI

The Willows Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,638 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.2–3.2

The Willows maps to a single census tract in Madison, WI and houses 4,638 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.2/10, in the Lower tier. 48% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Madison rate of 30.1%.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.3/10. 22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Disability prevalence reaches 17.7% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

SNAP participation is 4.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. At $1,632 a month, rents sit 15% over what the rest of Madison commands.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. The voucher gap is 10.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

That places it #58 of 61 neighborhoods in Madison. For a like-for-like read, Westmorland and Nakoma score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $142,875, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Willows vs Madison How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.3% +60%
Madison: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$1,632 +15%
Madison: $1,413
Average HH income
$142,875 +86%
Madison: $76,983
Poverty rate
5.0% -69%
Madison: 16.2%
Renter share
39.0% -28%
Madison: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Willows and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.2–3.2

Why The Willows scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
5.0% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Risk score comparison

The Willows vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Willows score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.2The WillowsNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in The Willows

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
55025010906 3.2 4,638 48% $1,632
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 24

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 38%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Willows

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Willows

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Willows?

The Willows scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Willows compare to Madison overall?

The Willows scores 1.4 points lower than Madison overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,632 vs $1,413.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Willows?

Average gross rent in The Willows is $1,632/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Willows residents are renters?

39% of The Willows households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Madison). The neighborhood has 4,638 residents.
Q5

Is The Willows a high social-vulnerability area?

The Willows sits in the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is The Willows for landlords?

The Willows carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Madison as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of The Willows?

The Willows has 4,803 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (30.9%), Hispanic / Latino (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Willows

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Madison

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Willows.

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