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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,848 of 84,120 nationally

Water Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Selma

Tract 01047956400 · Dallas County, AL · pop 2,614 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of $1/10, tract 01047956400 in the Water Avenue Historic District area of Selma ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,614 residents. On the national scale it ranks #19,871 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $757 a month while the average household earns $21,429 a year, roughly 42% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 46% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,106
Renter share76.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate32.4%
Median income$21,429

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Water Avenue Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 tracts In Selma
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 17 tracts In Dallas County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Selma and the region

Centroid at 32.4281, -87.0154 · click any tract to drill in

Why Water Avenue Historic District scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Selma
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
32.4% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$757 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Selma
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Selma
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Selma
8.8

How Water Avenue Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Water Avenue Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 956400Selma: 3.03.0Selmaparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 125Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 1.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.6%Peak (2007)
  • 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 010479564002001: 11 filings (1.47/100 renter HHs)2002: 15 filings (2.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 13 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)2004: 13 filings (1.74/100 renter HHs)2007: 19 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2008: 9 filings (1.23/100 renter HHs)2009: 10 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)2010: 14 filings (1.73/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (0.51/100 renter HHs)2013: 10 filings (1.02/100 renter HHs)2016: 6 filings (0.78/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Water Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Water Avenue Historic District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Selma eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dallas County average of 5.5 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 125 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 1.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.6% of renter households in 2007.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 01047956400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01047956400?

Census tract 01047956400 in the Water Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01047956400?

Median gross rent is $757/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01047956400?

32.4% of residents in tract 01047956400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,614.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01047956400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 94th, minority 93th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 01047956400 considered part of Water Avenue Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01047956400 fall within Water Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01047956400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 125 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01047956400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.47% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 01047956400 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 01047956400 compare to Selma overall?

Tract 01047956400 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Selma at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Selma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Selma

Top eight tracts in Selma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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