Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Water Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Selma
Tract 01047956500 · Dallas County, AL · pop 2,524 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 01047956500 sits in the Water Avenue Historic District area of Selma eviction risk, AL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. Population here is 2,524. Severe burden reaches 51%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,165
Renter share52.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate41.5%
Median income$20,221
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Selma and the region
Centroid at 32.4124, -87.0002 · click any tract to drill in
Why Water Avenue Historic District scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Selma
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
41.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$691 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Selma
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Selma
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Selma
8.8
How Water Avenue Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 245Total filings over 11 yrs
- 2.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2016)
- 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 177% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Water Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.5%Housing insecurity
- 29.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 53.0%Food insecurity
- 53.3%SNAP enrollment
- 26.3%Transit barriers
- 17.1%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 52.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Water Avenue Historic District
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 53.0% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.4/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 29.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Set annual rent against average income of $20,221 and the ratio lands at 41%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Against Dallas County at 46.7%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.8/10. Against the Dallas County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.
The filing record is not thin: 245 evictions over 11 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 01047956500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01047956500?
Census tract 01047956500 in the Water Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01047956500?
Median gross rent is $691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01047956500?
41.5% of residents in tract 01047956500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,524.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01047956500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 59th, minority 95th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 01047956500 considered part of Water Avenue Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01047956500 fall within Water Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01047956500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 245 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01047956500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.56% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 01047956500 struggle to pay rent?
About 36.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 01047956500 compare to Selma overall?
Tract 01047956500 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Selma at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Selma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Selma
Top eight tracts in Selma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AL
Water Avenue Historic District
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
01047956300
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
Water Avenue Historic District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
01047956201
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
Sunset Mill Village
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
Sunset Mill Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AL
Sunset Mill Village
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AL
01047956101
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Related