Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Water Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Selma
Tract 01047956600 · Dallas County, AL · pop 2,229 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 6.4/10, tract 01047956600 in the Water Avenue Historic District area of Selma, AL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,229. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,131
Renter share48.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$28,772
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Selma and the region
Centroid at 32.4157, -87.0281 · click any tract to drill in
Why Water Avenue Historic District scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Selma
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$726 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Selma
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Selma
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Selma
8.8
How Water Avenue Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 184Total filings over 11 yrs
- 2.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.5%Peak (2016)
- 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 35% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Water Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.2%Housing insecurity
- 22.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.8%Food insecurity
- 38.3%SNAP enrollment
- 19.6%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 44.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Water Avenue Historic District
Cost burden runs 61% here against 46.7% across Dallas County. Food insecurity runs 38.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.8/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10.
The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Disability prevalence runs 44.7% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Dallas County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 184 filings here across 11 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 5.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 01047956600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01047956600?
Census tract 01047956600 in the Water Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01047956600?
Median gross rent is $726/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01047956600?
28.9% of residents in tract 01047956600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,229.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01047956600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 54th, minority 86th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 01047956600 considered part of Water Avenue Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01047956600 fall within Water Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01047956600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 184 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01047956600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.29% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 01047956600 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 01047956600 compare to Selma overall?
Tract 01047956600 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Selma at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Selma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Selma
Top eight tracts in Selma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AL
Water Avenue Historic District
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
Water Avenue Historic District
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
01047956300
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
01047956201
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
Sunset Mill Village
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
Sunset Mill Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AL
Sunset Mill Village
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AL
01047956101
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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