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Neighborhood · Flagstaff, AZ

Forest Springs Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,667 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 4–4

Forest Springs Neighborhood is a one-tract neighborhood of Flagstaff, AZ and houses 4,667 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4/10, in the Moderate tier. 31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Against a Flagstaff baseline of 34.6%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10.

Court records for this tract carry 23 eviction filings. Average gross rent is $1,878, 14% above the Flagstaff average of $1,645.

Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 5.0% of renter households. Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Flagstaff, it ranks #10 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 2.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are West Ridge and University Heights/Highlands.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $81,243. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Forest Springs Neighborhood vs Flagstaff How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.2% +25%
Flagstaff: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$1,878 +14%
Flagstaff: $1,645
Average HH income
$81,243 +19%
Flagstaff: $68,041
Poverty rate
15.6% -19%
Flagstaff: 19.4%
Renter share
54.3% -6%
Flagstaff: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest Springs Neighborhood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4–4

Why Forest Springs Neighborhood scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
15.6% below poverty line · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Risk score comparison

Forest Springs Neighborhood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Forest Springs Neighborhood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Forest Springs Nei: 4.04.0Forest Springs NeiNeighborhoodParent city: 4.54.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Forest Springs Neighborhood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04005000700 4 4,667 43% $1,878
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 56%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Forest Springs Neighborhood

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 23Total filings (sum)
  • 5.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak year (2004)
  • 5.00%Latest filed (2004)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Forest Springs Neighborhood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Forest Springs Neighborhood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Forest Springs Neighborhood?

Forest Springs Neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Forest Springs Neighborhood compare to Flagstaff overall?

Forest Springs Neighborhood scores 0.5 points lower than Flagstaff overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,878 vs $1,645.
Q3

What is the average rent in Forest Springs Neighborhood?

Average gross rent in Forest Springs Neighborhood is $1,878/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Forest Springs Neighborhood residents are renters?

54% of Forest Springs Neighborhood households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Flagstaff). The neighborhood has 4,667 residents.
Q5

Is Forest Springs Neighborhood a high social-vulnerability area?

Forest Springs Neighborhood sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Forest Springs Neighborhood for landlords?

Forest Springs Neighborhood carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Flagstaff as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Forest Springs Neighborhood?

Forest Springs Neighborhood has 4,546 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44%), Other / Multiracial (27.9%), Hispanic / Latino (23.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Flagstaff

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Forest Springs Neighborhood.

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