New Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler
Tract 04013422216 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,841 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
04013422216 is a census tract in the New Horizons area of Mesa, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,841 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.3715, -111.8507 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Horizons scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow New Horizons compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 249Total filings over 5 yrs
- 14.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.3%Peak (2003)
- 40Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within New Horizons. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 5.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 13.5%Frequent mental distress
- 22.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in New Horizons
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 249 filings here across 5 tracked years.
50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Average gross rent is $1,826, 13% above the Mesa average. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Filings peaked in 2003 at 20.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 04013422216
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422216?
What is the average rent in tract 04013422216?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422216?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422216?
Is tract 04013422216 considered part of New Horizons?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422216?
What share of households in tract 04013422216 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013422216 compare to Chandler overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.