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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Eagles Nest Eviction Risk: Lower , Fountain Hills

Tract 04013216819 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,531 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 04013216819 covers part of the Eagles Nest area of Fountain Hills, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. At $2,759 a month, rents run 46% over what the rest of Fountain Hills commands.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 5% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,566
Renter share8.2%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$119,504

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Eagles Nest
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Fountain Hills
Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#721 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fountain Hills and the region

Centroid at 33.6298, -111.7520 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eagles Nest scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fountain Hills
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,759 rent vs county FMR
9.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fountain Hills
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fountain Hills
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fountain Hills
5.1

How Eagles Nest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eagles Nest risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 2168193.5Fountain Hillsparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.3%Peak (2005)
  • 6Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 04013216819
Filings climbed 200% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eagles Nest

The voucher gap is 41.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Food insecurity runs 5.8% against 17.8% nationally. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Court records carry 19 eviction filings across 5 observed years. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2005, when 5.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216819

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216819?

Census tract 04013216819 in the Eagles Nest neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216819?

Median gross rent is $2,759/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216819?

2.5% of residents in tract 04013216819 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,531.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216819?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 9th, minority 27th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216819 considered part of Eagles Nest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216819 fall within Eagles Nest (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216819?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216819 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.46% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216819 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216819 compare to Fountain Hills overall?

Tract 04013216819 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Fountain Hills at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fountain Hills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fountain Hills

Top eight tracts in Fountain Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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