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Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Firerock Eviction Risk: Lower , Fountain Hills

Tract 04013216821 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,665 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 04013216821 in Firerock in Fountain Hills ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,665 residents. It lands near the 37th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 23% of renter households, a moderate level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,785 a month against an average household income of $116,618 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 10% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,878
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$116,618

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Firerock
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Fountain Hills
Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#834 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#1,538 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fountain Hills and the region

Centroid at 33.5892, -111.7497 · click any tract to drill in

Why Firerock scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fountain Hills
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,785 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fountain Hills
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fountain Hills
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fountain Hills
5.1

How Firerock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Firerock risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 216821Fountain Hills: 2.62.6Fountain Hillsparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 119Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 9.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2001)
  • 23Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132168212001: 41 filings (16.12/100 renter HHs)2002: 29 filings (11.40/100 renter HHs)2003: 7 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2004: 19 filings (7.47/100 renter HHs)2005: 23 filings (7.96/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Firerock. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Firerock

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fountain Hills eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 119 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 9.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.1% of renter households in 2001.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216821

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216821?

Census tract 04013216821 in the Firerock neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216821?

Median gross rent is $1,785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216821?

8.2% of residents in tract 04013216821 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,665.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216821?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 14th, minority 10th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216821 considered part of Firerock?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216821 fall within Firerock (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216821?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 119 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216821 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.14% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216821 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216821 compare to Fountain Hills overall?

Tract 04013216821 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Fountain Hills at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fountain Hills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fountain Hills

Top eight tracts in Fountain Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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