Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Firerock Eviction Risk: Lower , Fountain Hills
Tract 04013216856 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,911 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 04013216856 covers part of the Firerock area of Fountain Hills, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,911. Cost burden runs 62% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,239
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$106,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fountain Hills and the region
Centroid at 33.5847, -111.7197 · click any tract to drill in
Why Firerock scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fountain Hills
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,358 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fountain Hills
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fountain Hills
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fountain Hills
5.1
How Firerock compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Firerock. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 11.1%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Firerock
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. At $1,358 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Fountain Hills commands. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally.
It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $106,875, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013216856
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216856?
Census tract 04013216856 in the Firerock neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013216856?
Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216856?
10.2% of residents in tract 04013216856 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,911.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216856?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 9th, minority 5th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 04013216856 considered part of Firerock?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216856 fall within Firerock (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013216856 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013216856 compare to Fountain Hills overall?
Tract 04013216856 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Fountain Hills at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fountain Hills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fountain Hills
Top eight tracts in Fountain Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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