Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Tempe Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013318700 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,035 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 04013318700 sits in the Tempe Junction area of Tempe eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. Population here is 5,035. Set annual rent against average income of $48,167 and the ratio lands at 52%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units2,098
Renter share83.0%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate39.6%
Median income$48,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tempe and the region
Centroid at 33.4288, -111.9349 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tempe Junction scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
39.6% poverty · this tract
9.9
Supply constraint
$2,082 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5
How Tempe Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 5 yrs
- 0.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.4%Peak (2005)
- 3Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tempe Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.9%Food insecurity
- 13.6%SNAP enrollment
- 13.4%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 21.4%Frequent mental distress
- 29.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tempe Junction
Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.9/10. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $2,082, 19% above the Tempe average.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 1.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013318700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013318700?
Census tract 04013318700 in the Tempe Junction neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013318700?
Median gross rent is $2,082/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013318700?
39.6% of residents in tract 04013318700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,035.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013318700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 1th, minority 59th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 04013318700 considered part of Tempe Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013318700 fall within Tempe Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013318700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013318700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.67% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013318700 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013318700 compare to Tempe overall?
Tract 04013318700 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tempe
Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Tempe Cascade
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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