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Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Cinco Soles Eviction Risk: Lower , Paradise Valley

Tract 04013105002 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,464 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of $1/10, tract 04013105002 in Cinco Soles in Paradise Valley ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,464 residents. That is riskier than about 13% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 0% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $210,614 a year. Renters make up 3% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 3% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,092
Renter share2.8%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$210,614

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Cinco Soles
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Paradise Valley
Very High
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#780 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,443 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Paradise Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.5229, -111.9475 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cinco Soles scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Paradise Valley
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Paradise Valley
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Paradise Valley
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Paradise Valley
2.4

How Cinco Soles compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cinco Soles risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 105002Paradise Valley: 2.02.0Paradise Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 17Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 3.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2002)
  • 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131050022001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 6 filings (5.08/100 renter HHs)2003: 6 filings (5.08/100 renter HHs)2004: 4 filings (3.39/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (0.87/100 renter HHs)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cinco Soles

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Paradise Valley, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 17 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 3.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.1% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013105002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013105002?

Census tract 04013105002 in the Cinco Soles neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013105002?

14.7% of residents in tract 04013105002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,464.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013105002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 24th, minority 30th, housing 7th.
Q4

Is tract 04013105002 considered part of Cinco Soles?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013105002 fall within Cinco Soles (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013105002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013105002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.61% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013105002 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013105002 compare to Paradise Valley overall?

Tract 04013105002 scores 2.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Paradise Valley at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Paradise Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Paradise Valley

Top eight tracts in Paradise Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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